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The Joint Electricity Regulatory Commission (JERC) has introduced draft regulations to establish a resource adequacy framework for Goa and union territories, including Andaman and Nicobar, Chandigarh, Dadra and Nagar Haveli, Daman and Diu, Lakshadweep, and Puducherry. These regulations aim to ensure the reliable planning of generation and transmission resources to meet projected demand while adhering to specified reliability standards. The framework encompasses demand assessment, forecasting, generation planning, procurement strategies, and compliance monitoring. Under the proposed regulations, distribution licensees must prepare long-term, medium-term, and short-term resource adequacy plans. These plans should include demand forecasts in terms of megawatts (MW) and megawatt-hours (MWh), covering all consumers within their jurisdiction, including partial open-access users. The forecast must account for each consumer category with separate retail tariffs, adjusted for economic factors, policies, historical trends, and future projections. Licensees can refine forecasts using load research and must provide detailed justifications for any adjustments. The regulations also require the development of a methodology for hourly or sub-hourly demand forecasting. Distribution licensees must maintain historical data and submit their demand forecasts to the State Load Dispatch Center (SLDC) by April 30 each year. The SLDC will aggregate these forecasts, considering seasonal variations and load diversity, and provide a consolidated state-level demand forecast across various timeframes. To address supply-side planning, distribution licensees must map all existing, upcoming, and retiring resources, considering constraints such as penalties for unmet demand, outages, reserve requirements, and emission limits. They are required to calculate capacity credit (CC) factors for contracted generation resources annually, using data from the past five years. CC factors for hydro resources will be computed based on water availability, with separate considerations for run-of-the-river and storage-based hydropower projects. Distribution licensees must analyze resource gaps using sensitivity and probability assessments to identify the most probable scenarios. Based on these findings, they must develop long-term, medium-term, and short-term distribution resource adequacy plans. These plans will outline how the licensees intend to manage resource gaps, meet demand reliably, and address system constraints. The draft regulations aim to create a structured approach for reliable power supply planning and resource management. By formalizing these processes, JERC intends to enhance efficiency, accountability, and resilience in meeting the future energy needs of Goa and the union territories. |
